The volatility challenge
Currency markets are in flux, driven by geopolitical tensions, shifting monetary policies, and unpredictable economic data. For investment managers, this volatility isn’t just noise, it’s a material risk that can erode returns. The recent slide in the USD against the EUR, fuelled by trade tensions, underscores the need for robust currency risk management as unhedged foreign exposures can amplify portfolio swings, turning diversification benefits into unintended liabilities.
Hedging strategies: Passive, active, or hybrid?
Managers have three broad choices when managing FX risk: ignore it, hedge passively, or take an active approach.
Passive hedging is a rules-based method to neutralise currency risk, typically using FX forward contracts. It’s cost-effective and reduces volatility, making it ideal for conservative portfolios. Key considerations include timing, hedge ratios, tenor, and rebalancing tolerance, all of which must align with liquidity and risk constraints.
Active currency overlay seeks alpha by exploiting market trends or macroeconomic views. While potentially rewarding, it demands both expertise and strong governance.
Hybrid approaches are gaining traction, using partial passive hedging with tactical adjustments on selected currencies or asset types. Dynamic hedge ratios, for instance, can lock in gains when a currency strengthens or limit losses when it weakens.
The right strategy depends on portfolio objectives: unhedged defensive assets may suit investors with volatile home currencies, while fixed income-heavy portfolios often warrant near-full hedging. [...]
